College Football predictions: Bet the over on this SEC team’s win total

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The College Football Playoff National Championship concluded and we put a bow on the 2023/24 campaign less than two months ago. For many, the next few months are used to switch into March Madness and MLB modes. However, for bettors, it’s never too early to place those college football futures tickets.

As more and more odds are released, it’s beneficial to scout different sportsbooks for favorable odds early — before the general public gets to them. One of my favorite plays was released in the last few days, and while multiple viral videos have shifted the odds, it’s still an early must-play in my opinion.

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Of course, this play is the over on Vanderbilt’s projected win total. The Commodores’ line is set at O/U 2.5 wins at FanDuel Sportsbook. You have to pay the juice on the over at -130 (meaning you must wager $13 to win $10), but it’s worth it after a quick glance at Vanderbilt’s schedule.

The Commodores have been the punching bag of the SEC in football for years. They’ve won just three conference games since the start of 2019 as they’ve compiled a total record of 12-45 in that span.

Vanderbilt has finished below three wins in three of the last five seasons, so why are we so confident that the Commodores go over their win total in 2024?

It’s important to remember that the SEC will still play an eight-game conference schedule, even after the additions of Oklahoma and Texas. This means that Vanderbilt will play four non-conference games with three coming against non-power conference opponents. Three of those four contests will also be played at the newly renovated FirstBank Stadium in Nashville.

A Virginia Tech team that went 7-6 in 2023 will give the Commodores a tough start to the season. However, that’s one game that Vanderbilt can afford to drop, even if it looks to hit 3+ wins on the year. It’s a winnable — albeit unlikely — contest, just like SEC showdowns at Auburn and versus South Carolina. 

The three remaining non-conference games (vs. Alcorn State, at Georgia State and vs. Ball State) are the ones we’ll be circling. With all due respect to the Braves and Cardinals, those are games the Commodores simply will not lose. The biggest challenge will be on the road at the Panthers, who just hired a first-time head coach three days ago to lead their program.

Suffice it to say these games are all winnable for Clark Lea as his program looks to get back on its feet following a rough 2023 campaign. Let’s take a look at Vanderbilt’s full schedule for the season ahead:

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About Marc Lemoine 1894 Articles
Marc is an Economist and a well experienced weightlifter who has won many championships. He intends to build a bright career in the media industry as well. He is a sports freak who loves to cover the latest news on sports, finance and economy.

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